2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$868/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$35
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$182
Net cashflow
$520/mo
Annual
$6,238/yr
Cap rate
31.25%
Cash-on-cash
89.12%
DSCR
4.97
1% rule
3.47%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $923 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $750 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#62 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, housing D+, crime F.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.
Colfax County population projected at -39% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-57BGY35F89X2AQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29