3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,756 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$52/mo
Annual
$623/yr
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.02%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($623/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (6.5% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#289 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Melbourne School District (rural): math 48% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #22 of 238 in AR (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Izard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Izard County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and small
Minor: exterior siding
— some discoloration
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