3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,097/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,126/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (9.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (21.1% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $110k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Gainesville R-V (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #85 of 324 in MO (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gainesville Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 303 students, 76% FRL); Gainesville High (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 314 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 56% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Ozark County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-57FXW14TDT193Z
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29