2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$846/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$168/mo
Annual
$2,020/yr
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.02%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#380 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
New Athens CUSD 60 (rural): math 33% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #108 of 620 in IL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: New Athens Elem (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #219 of 2,056 statewide, top 12%, 231 students, 0% FRL); New Athens Jr High (math 37% / reading 62%, grade C, #51 of 665 statewide, top 9%, 109 students, 0% FRL); New Athens High School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #473 of 693 statewide, top 69%, 154 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 30% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-580SK15V20RGW9
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29