2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1956
· Other
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$837/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$202
Tax + insurance
−$36
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$423/mo
Annual
$5,080/yr
Cap rate
19.49%
Cash-on-cash
47.12%
DSCR
3.10
1% rule
2.17%
Cash to close
$10,780
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $38k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $266 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#561 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Kennett 39 (town): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #262 of 324 in MO (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: H. Byron Masterson Elem. (451 students, 99% FRL); Kennett High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 497 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 6.5% in Kennett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-58EAVH6W0VMQ02
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29