2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,110/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$465
HOA
−$1,114
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$653
Net cashflow
$-375/mo
Annual
$-4,499/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.53%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $239k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-375 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.8%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,110/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 4771% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-58MJDE83XGKSWR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29