2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,370 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,481/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$-108/mo
Annual
$-1,293/yr
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.15%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (8.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (31.1% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#332 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
Hamilton City (suburban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #517 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,163 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (356 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $215k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.6% in Hamilton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-595CBR0BERDV3Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29