2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1289 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,558/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,968
Tax + insurance
−$626
HOA
−$92
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$-1,455/mo
Annual
$-17,464/yr
Cap rate
1.64%
Cash-on-cash
-16.62%
DSCR
0.26
1% rule
0.42%
Cash to close
$105,101
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $50.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50).
It's been on market 1289 days — a 12% lower offer ($44) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44 (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#96 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, schools B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Columbia Falls H S (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #198 of 339 in MT (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 11260.8% of price.
Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 1.6% vs local median 1.4% in Columbia Falls — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 1289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-59EQC72C8H5MPV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29