428 N Lincoln St

Oakland City, IN 47660

$56,000B+

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Built 1915 · SingleFamily · Active · 423 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,037/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$294
• Tax + insurance: −$57
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $468/mo
• Annual: $5,618/yr
• Cap rate: 16.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 35.83%
• DSCR: 2.59
• 1% rule: 1.85%
• Cash to close: $15,680

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
• It's been on market 423 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($387 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#349 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
• East Gibson School Corporation (town): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #171 of 301 in IN (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Gibson County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $56k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 423 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.