3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Townhouse
· Active
· 171 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$923/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$211/mo
Annual
$2,535/yr
Cap rate
9.67%
Cash-on-cash
12.07%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#273 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Duke (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #336 of 513 in OK (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Duke Es (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 97 students, 0% FRL); Duke Hs (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 53 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5AA07H2TQ3KB8J
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29