1005 Burford Ct

Doniphan, MO 63935

$159,900F

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Built 1972 · Other · Active · 39 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,046/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax + insurance: −$100
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$220
• Net cashflow: $-112/mo
• Annual: $-1,343/yr
• Cap rate: 5.45%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.00%
• DSCR: 0.87
• 1% rule: 0.65%
• Cash to close: $44,772

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $160k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (12.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (34.6% below list).
• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $105k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#568 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Doniphan R-I (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #254 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Doniphan Elem. (378 students, 99% FRL); Doniphan Middle (math 15% / reading 33%, grade F, #326 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 361 students, 99% FRL); Doniphan High (math 54% / reading 57%, grade C, #61 of 521 statewide, top 12%, 476 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 63% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP.
• Ripley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.6% in Doniphan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.