3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Other
· Active
· 523 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,133/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,190/yr
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.40%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (9.4% below list).
It's been on market 523 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#555 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Hayti R-II (town): math 9% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #316 of 324 in MO (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mathis Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 375 students, 99% FRL); Hayti High (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #507 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 228 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 79% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Pemiscot County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pemiscot County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 523 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 3 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29