4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,351/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$687
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$219/mo
Annual
$2,633/yr
Cap rate
8.30%
Cash-on-cash
7.18%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$36,680
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $131k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $131k).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($906 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#533 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
Climax-Shelly Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #362 of 467 in MN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Climax Elementary (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 96 students, 66% FRL); Climax Secondary (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #421 of 471 statewide, top 90%, 93 students, 56% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $131k implies a 558% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5B8FZN3ZNAK88V
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29