3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,591 sqft ·
Built 1866
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,139/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$105/mo
Annual
$1,261/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.92%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (1.0% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $114k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#22 in KS, #2,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, schools D-.
Morris County (rural): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #34 of 169 in KS (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1866 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morris County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $115k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1866 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5C00VP1DSNBTS7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29