3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,420 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$980/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$-59/mo
Annual
$-714/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.96%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-714/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (8.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (24.6% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $98k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $573 of equity ($898 loan paydown + $-325 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
Shawnee Heights (rural): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #90 of 169 in KS (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Tecumseh North Elem (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #532 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 470 students, 53% FRL); Shawnee Heights Middle (math 22% / reading 23%, grade F, #130 of 219 statewide, top 61%, 538 students, 36% FRL); Shawnee Heights High (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 1,293 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $41k; list at $130k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5C9DN6EAKN2P5J
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29