28 bd · 16.0 ba ·
2,322 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,957/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,041
Net cashflow
$3,460/mo
Annual
$41,524/yr
Cap rate
81.79%
Cash-on-cash
269.64%
DSCR
13.00
1% rule
9.01%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($42k/yr) — positive. Per door: $865/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $55k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carlyle C Ring Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 385 students, 74% FRL); George Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #660 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 469 students, 86% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 60% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 81.8% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,957/mo this rent would consume 120% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5D5DJN4S94Y1GZ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29