9 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,480 sqft ·
Built 2005
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,261/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,226
Tax + insurance
−$1,834
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,735
Net cashflow
$-5,534/mo
Annual
$-66,402/yr
Cap rate
2.89%
Cash-on-cash
-12.16%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.42%
Cash to close
$546,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.95M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6k ($-66k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-2k/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $972k (50.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $826k (57.6% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.92M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $826k (57.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $208k of equity ($13k loan paydown + $195k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $850k; list at $1.95M implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$335k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $8,261/mo this rent would consume 152% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 6603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5DBNA53EWPPZRD
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29