3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$431/mo
Annual
$5,171/yr
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.86%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#238 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Horrell Hill Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #515 of 597 statewide, top 89%, 562 students, 100% FRL); Lower Richland High (math 5% / reading 64%, grade F, #185 of 196 statewide, top 94%, 1,244 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 328 active listings in the ZIP; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5DGH5691PRYN8B
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29