2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
785 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$106/mo
Annual
$1,276/yr
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.87%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in ID, #3,806 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Orofino Joint District (town): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #45 of 92 in ID (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Orofino Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #176 of 357 statewide, top 53%, 376 students, 41% FRL); Orofino High School (math 32% / reading 67%, grade D, #45 of 169 statewide, top 29%, 372 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Clearwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clearwater County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 10→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.5% in Orofino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Porch flooring
— Artificial turf may need replacement.
Minor: Porch railings
— No visible damage, but may need cleaning or touch-up paint.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29