2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Pending
· 202 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,527/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$234
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$-199/mo
Annual
$-2,391/yr
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.77%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (19.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: University Avenue Elementary - Aero (math 47% / reading 49%, grade D, #484 of 857 statewide, top 57%, 608 students, 61% FRL); Northdale Middle (math 40% / reading 55%, grade C-, #93 of 258 statewide, top 37%, 1,274 students, 46% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 24% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $140k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29