1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
679 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Condo
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,908/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$994
HOA
−$812
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$821
Net cashflow
$-502/mo
Annual
$-6,025/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.95%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-502 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (26.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $924 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Phyllis Wheatley Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,121 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 189 students, 88% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-31 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 758 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $190k; list at $340k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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