3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,240 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,664/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$214/mo
Annual
$2,565/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.09%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (7.5% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#72 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Bridge Creek (rural): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #53 of 270 in OK (top 20%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bridge Creek Early Childhood (494 students, 0% FRL); Bridge Creek Hs (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 508 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 507 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $180k implies a 542% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.3% in Bridge Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5EV7ZSBHM0JVTC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29