2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Condo
· Pending
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,119/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$655
Net cashflow
$608/mo
Annual
$7,295/yr
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.16%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $228k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#271 in NY, #4,308 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Irvington Union Free School District (suburban): math 83% / reading 89% proficiency, ranked #23 of 590 in NY (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Dows Lane (K-3) School (math 77% / reading 92%, grade A+, #93 of 2,108 statewide, top 6%, 532 students, 6% FRL); Irvington Middle School (math 82% / reading 89%, grade A+, #11 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 426 students, 9% FRL); Irvington High School (math 98% / reading 98%, grade A+, #19 of 1,100 statewide, top 4%, 548 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.5% in Irvington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5EWX7D34RYC28W
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29