2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,125 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,003/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$707
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-1,002/yr
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.65%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$37,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (25.6% below list).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#559 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, health & safety D.
Clayton School District (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #396 of 426 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 238 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $135k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5EXYKX4W992NVA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29