3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,107 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$964/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$589/mo
Annual
$7,070/yr
Cap rate
34.57%
Cash-on-cash
101.00%
DSCR
5.49
1% rule
3.86%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($964 rent vs $25k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#289 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Humboldt City Schools (town): math 4% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #138 of 139 in TN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #884 of 952 statewide, top 93%, 440 students, 0% FRL); Humboldt Junior/Senior High School (math 3% / reading 11%, grade F, #302 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 424 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 86% district-wide (86 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5F32W56T5ZPQ7Q
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29