12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
5,220 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$642
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,320
Net cashflow
$2,305/mo
Annual
$27,663/yr
Cap rate
13.48%
Cash-on-cash
25.66%
DSCR
2.14
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $576/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $385k).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $339k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-9.2%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,286/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 707% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5FKCVZBWKJ1VGC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29