2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
882 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$275/mo
Annual
$3,295/yr
Cap rate
11.36%
Cash-on-cash
18.10%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $642 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#163 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
Weakley County (rural): math 34% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #32 of 139 in TN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Weakley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weakley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $65k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29