1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
597 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Timeshare
· Active
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,794/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$702
HOA
−$310
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$587
Net cashflow
$1,090/mo
Annual
$13,083/yr
Cap rate
111.85%
Cash-on-cash
376.99%
DSCR
17.77
1% rule
13.97%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath timeshare listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 637 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $20k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5GZ723A6FGAFXF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29