None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,006/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$1,542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,681
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-813/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.31%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $925k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-813/yr) — negative. Per door: $-34/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $915k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $801k (13.4% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $801k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in NJ, #1,151 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Red Bank Regional School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #143 of 472 in NJ (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Red Bank Primary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,124 of 1,303 statewide, top 88%, 591 students, 78% FRL); Red Bank Middle School (math 12% / reading 30%, grade F, #387 of 431 statewide, top 90%, 601 students, 79% FRL); Red Bank Regional High School (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #177 of 399 statewide, top 45%, 1,195 students, 29% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Red Bank Regional School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.5% in Red Bank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,006/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($112k/yr) (locally 854% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5H7BGGDXZ1DDTB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29