2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
777 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 345 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,982/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$505
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$401/mo
Annual
$4,812/yr
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.86%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
2.06%
Cash to close
$26,945
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $96k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $96k).
It's been on market 345 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $665 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#11 in VT, #2,626 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment F.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 339 units permitted in Windsor County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
Windsor County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 345 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5HFDKJEDBF8K33
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29