1116 N Fossil Street St

Russell, KS 67665

$108,300C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,234 sqft · Built 1929 · SingleFamily · Pending · 34 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,030/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$568
• Tax + insurance: −$180
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$216
• Net cashflow: $65/mo
• Annual: $783/yr
• Cap rate: 7.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.58%
• DSCR: 1.11
• 1% rule: 0.95%
• Cash to close: $30,324

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($783/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (4.9% below list).
• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $103k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($749 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#186 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Russell County (town): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #144 of 169 in KS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Bickerdyke Elem (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #386 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 228 students, 55% FRL); Ruppenthal Middle (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #180 of 219 statewide, top 83%, 186 students, 59% FRL); Russell High (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #249 of 327 statewide, top 79%, 207 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Russell County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $40k; list at $108k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.