2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$828/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$174
Net cashflow
$305/mo
Annual
$3,658/yr
Cap rate
13.61%
Cash-on-cash
26.13%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($828 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#355 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Colorado ISD (town): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #508 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP.
Mitchell County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5K6BKT5H5MQ1VB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29