2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,122/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$541/mo
Annual
$6,486/yr
Cap rate
19.27%
Cash-on-cash
46.33%
DSCR
3.06
1% rule
2.24%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Poteet ISD (town): math 26% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #656 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 1.9% in Poteet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repair
Major: flooring
— Concrete flooring in poor condition
Major: interior walls/paint
— Painted walls appear dirty and in need of cleaning
Major: bathroom
— Cluttered and in need of cleaning
Major: kitchen
— Cluttered and in need of cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-5MJATM40CBR51M
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29