2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$495
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$177/mo
Annual
$2,118/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.57%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Palmerton Area SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #234 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5MVDZZ5M0Z1W70
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29