2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$298
HOA
−$21
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$-448/mo
Annual
$-5,375/yr
Cap rate
4.14%
Cash-on-cash
-7.68%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-448 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (31.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (40.2% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $150k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#91 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Goddard (rural): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #18 of 169 in KS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Oak Street Elementary School K-4 (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #70 of 684 statewide, top 12%, 378 students, 29% FRL); Goddard Middle School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #85 of 219 statewide, top 40%, 493 students, 30% FRL); Goddard High (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 948 students, 31% FRL).
Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5NX0JZ7VJ79SD3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29