4785 E Wheatland Rd

Vincennes, IN 47591

$55,549B

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 684 sqft · Built 1969 · Manufactured · Active · 541 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $866/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$291
• Tax + insurance: −$64
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$182
• Net cashflow: $328/mo
• Annual: $3,940/yr
• Cap rate: 13.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.33%
• DSCR: 2.13
• 1% rule: 1.56%
• Cash to close: $15,554

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $56k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($866 rent vs $56k).
• It's been on market 541 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $384 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#148 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• South Knox School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #66 of 301 in IN (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Knox County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.1% in Vincennes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 541 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.