3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,240/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$475
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$422/mo
Annual
$5,066/yr
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
19.99%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$25,340
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $626 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#440 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
South Gibson School Corporation (rural): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #31 of 301 in IN (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Owensville Community School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #325 of 994 statewide, top 36%, 415 students, 41% FRL); Gibson Southern High School (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #18 of 369 statewide, top 5%, 726 students, 23% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gibson County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $90k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5PGFPEATZW8ARY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29