None bd · 6.0 ba ·
2,888 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,162/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,359
Tax + insurance
−$816
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,084
Net cashflow
$902/mo
Annual
$10,828/yr
Cap rate
8.88%
Cash-on-cash
9.23%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$125,972
Investor read
This is a 6 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $450k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $150/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($443k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $443k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Edison Middle (math 12% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,596 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 460 students, 96% FRL); Milby H S (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,023 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,107 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and potential leaks
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and in poor condition
Major: landscaping
— Unkempt and overgrown
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29