3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,062 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$136
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$168/mo
Annual
$2,017/yr
Cap rate
7.33%
Cash-on-cash
3.69%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (13.9% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#26 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
Tupelo Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #28 of 130 in MS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5PVBZE82ZKHJRQ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29