2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$747
Tax + insurance
−$238
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$836/mo
Annual
$10,029/yr
Cap rate
13.33%
Cash-on-cash
25.13%
DSCR
2.12
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$39,900
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#865 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Beaumont Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #168 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Brookside Elementary (706 students, 68% FRL); Mountain View Middle (935 students, 68% FRL); Beaumont Senior High (math 36% / reading 63%, grade D, #352 of 1,170 statewide, top 31%, 3,328 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 45% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 6.7% in Calimesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: interior walls
— dated wood paneling and peeling wallpaper
Moderate: exterior paint
— could benefit from fresh paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-5Q0BH18V14WQYJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29