108 bd · 6.0 ba ·
6,080 sqft ·
Built 2020
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$42,852/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$23,598
Tax + insurance
−$3,700
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$8,999
Net cashflow
$6,555/mo
Annual
$78,660/yr
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.24%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$1,260,000
Investor read
This is a 16 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $4.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($79k/yr) — positive. Per door: $410/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $4.29M (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($4.37M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $4.29M (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $31k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $82k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 515 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.50M; list at $4.50M implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $42,852/mo this rent would consume 562% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 5603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5R4ZF7A3VQ5AFR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29