3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,816 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 211 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$597
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$371/mo
Annual
$4,455/yr
Cap rate
10.20%
Cash-on-cash
13.97%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$31,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($787 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,389/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 660% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5R95291KSQBWV2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29