None bd · None ba ·
3,806 sqft ·
Built 1902
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,982/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,564
Tax + insurance
−$871
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,046
Net cashflow
$501/mo
Annual
$6,010/yr
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.88%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$136,920
Investor read
This is a 1×5bd/2.5ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $489k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $250/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $489k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($482k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $482k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#108 in PA, #833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: J M Hill El Sch (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,180 of 1,518 statewide, top 80%, 430 students, 68% FRL); J T Lambert Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 942 students, 61% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs South (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D-, #177 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,338 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 42% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $137k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.4% in East Stroudsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,982/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 672% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5RBRQ58R6JXS4F
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29