3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,435 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,267/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$168/mo
Annual
$2,014/yr
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.54%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#184 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Rush County Schools (town): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #147 of 301 in IN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rushville Elementary School East (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 329 students, 60% FRL); Benjamin Rush Middle School (math 37% / reading 40%, grade F, #132 of 330 statewide, top 41%, 318 students, 62% FRL); Rushville Consolidated High School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #106 of 369 statewide, top 31%, 654 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 43% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Rush County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rush County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $94k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.0% in Rushville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5RD6SKDM10N6S7
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29