2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,131 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Townhouse
· Active
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,391/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$671
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$316
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-62/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.17%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$35,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $128k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-62/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (0.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Grant Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #660 of 966 statewide, top 70%, 366 students, 74% FRL); Mann Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #207 of 270 statewide, top 79%, 387 students, 67% FRL); Mitchell High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #352 of 381 statewide, top 94%, 886 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 49% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $146k (53%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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