3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,502 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,179/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$115/mo
Annual
$1,377/yr
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,017 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Hutsonville CUSD 1 (rural): math 15% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #491 of 919 in IL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5SQCD0A7MCJJZC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29