1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,824/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$593
Net cashflow
$814/mo
Annual
$9,770/yr
Cap rate
11.06%
Cash-on-cash
17.02%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#315 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, cost of living F.
Port Chester-Rye Union Free School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #428 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $154k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.3% in Port Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5SS70A9FCCM5HP
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29