1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
661 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Pending
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,418/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$309
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$-73/mo
Annual
$-879/yr
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.42%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-879/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (10.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-5SWZTH3JP80HBD
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29