3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,556 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Condo
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,570/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$351
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$-307/mo
Annual
$-3,686/yr
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.93%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-307 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (28.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#114 in MI, #2,700 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
Marysville Public Schools (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #115 of 540 in MI (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $146k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5T2YZ04ARPV5WJ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29