2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
892 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$325
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,185/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.57%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#522 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Buffalo-Hanover-Montrose Public Schools (town): math 52% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #63 of 301 in MN (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Montrose Elementary School of Innov (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 351 students, 48% FRL); Buffalo Community Middle (math 48% / reading 53%, grade C, #72 of 258 statewide, top 29%, 1,142 students, 30% FRL); Buffalo Senior High (math 42% / reading 61%, grade D+, #124 of 471 statewide, top 27%, 1,818 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 18% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $165k implies a 560% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.9% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5T8RN98RVSYNYS
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29